A couple of months ago when the turmoil began, I had one of these articles in Zerohedge, and I referred to the how the gold-copper ratio reflected what was going on in the real economy. Of course, commenters rose to the bait, asking what I meant by the real economy.
So today's post is an annotated graph of the weekly gold-copper ratio plotted against its smoothed rate of change, over the past three years (actually, about 34 months). The recent excitement is noted on the right side of the graph.
I normally view a high gold-copper ratio (say, over 450) as a bad sign for the economy. The current values are not quite unprecedented, but you have to go back to the early 1980s (not a great time, economically) to see something similar.
When I think of the real economy, the example in my mind is a factory making refrigerators. The annotations above are the thoughts and actions of the factory owner.
So today's post is an annotated graph of the weekly gold-copper ratio plotted against its smoothed rate of change, over the past three years (actually, about 34 months). The recent excitement is noted on the right side of the graph.
I normally view a high gold-copper ratio (say, over 450) as a bad sign for the economy. The current values are not quite unprecedented, but you have to go back to the early 1980s (not a great time, economically) to see something similar.
When I think of the real economy, the example in my mind is a factory making refrigerators. The annotations above are the thoughts and actions of the factory owner.
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